NOAA's Climate Prediction Center increases chance for "above-normal" in 2019 Florida hurricane season update.
On August 8th, 2019 forecasters for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued a 2019 Florida hurricane season update saying "conditions are now more favorable for above-normal hurricane activity" during the 2019 Florida hurricane season.
CPC's updated forecasts for the 2019 Florida hurricane season are as follows:
- A thirty-five percent [35%] chance of a near-normal season
- A forty-five percent [45%] chance of an above-normal season
- A twenty percent [20%] chance of a below-normal season
- Ten to seventeen [10-17] named storms (winds of thirty-nine  mph or greater)
- Five to nine [5-9] hurricanes (winds of seventy-four  mph or greater)
- Two to four [2-4] major hurricanes (winds of one-hundred-eleven  mph or greater)
(For reference, an average hurricane season produces twelve  named storms, six  hurricanes, and three  major hurricanes.)
NOAA notes this increase in likelihood of an above-normal season is due to three factors:
- The current Pacific Ocean El Nino has ended returning conditions to neutral
- Conditions associated with the ongoing high-activity Atlantic hurricane era (1995-present) are more conducive
- Landfall predictions are only accurate within about a week of a storm potentially reaching a coastline
Two named storms have already formed so far this year, and we are just now entering the peak months of the 2019 Florida hurricane season. Historically, 95% of all hurricanes and major hurricanes occur between August and October.
Get ready now and share the message:
- Determine your vulnerability to hurricane storm surge, inland flooding, and strong winds
- Develop an evacuation plan and ensure your disaster supply kit is ready
- Acquire enough supplies to last several days
- Document and share your evacuation plan with friends and family
- Communicate with your neighbors about their plans as well
- Call Tint Heaven now to schedule your no cost Comfort Survey.